Global Journal of Management and Business Research, B: Economics and Commerce, Volume 21 Issue 5

Uncertainty of the Post-Covid Future: How will Humanity Solve this Puzzle? Andrey I. Pilipenko α , Olga I. Pilipenko σ & Zoya A. Pilipenko ρ Abstract- The post-pandemic future is "shrouded" in complete uncertainty. Humanity is faced with COVID-19 in a situation where many economic and social problems have already accumulated, approaches to solving which have not been developed. At the same time, technological progress has brought humanity closer to fantastic prospects associated with the implementation of the achievements of the technological revolution 4.0. However, in this context, there has emerged and is growing the lack of professionals with relevant skills and competencies. In addition, the waves of the coronavirus pandemic, the emergence of more and more aggressive and deadly strains of it have dispelled the myth of humanity's ability to subordinate the eco-natural system to its interests without harming it. In a pandemic, the very organization of human society was under the threat of destabilization due to the violation of the dialectic of the relationship between individuals and society, citizens and the state, etc. The precariat, NEETs, generation Z with their specific preferences and value orientations became the result of a violation of the social integrity of national communities. Naturally, it is difficult to solve the puzzle of uncertain post-covid future without understanding the specifics of modern reality. This publication is the authors' attempt to structure modern problems in their dialectical connection and subordination on the basis of dialectical logic within the framework of a systematic approach. It makes possible to understand the patterns of structuring future reality, to determine the role of a human in the systemic formation of a new economy and society and the creation of a new technological base for them. This will make it possible to understand the patterns of structuring the future reality, to determine the role of a human in the systems' organization of a new economy and society and to create a new technological base for them. This is the only way to minimize the uncertainty of the post-coronavirus future. I. I ntroduction ccording to the World Health Organization as of July 14 2021, the number of COVID-19 infected people on the planet reached 188.3 million, of which the number of deaths was estimated at 4.06 million. A real shock for the countries all over the world became the phenomenally rapid spread of coronavirus across the Globe and the failure of nation states to instantly identify and isolate patient zero and prevent the pandemic to cross national borders. A year after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, it became clear that new strains of coronavirus are infecting people even Author α σ : The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Russia. e-mail: students_forum@mail.ru Author ρ : Bank of Russia, Russia. faster and the number of deaths is growing. In these conditions, in addition to the priority task of preventing a humanitarian catastrophe today, the importance of the problem of minimizing the absolute uncertainty of post- covid reality in the future has increased. Thus, over the millennia since the separation of mankind from the natural environment, the humans managed to make a tremendous leap in technological progress, in labor productivity, in the generation of various forms of organizing economic activity and social interaction. On this basis, people became convinced that they are able to completely subordinate nature to their goals. However, the COVID-19 pandemic in the blink of an eye shattered this illusion of mankind, demonstrating its absolute vulnerability to natural disasters such as deadly viruses, large-scale fires, powerful floods, etc. As a result, in the 2020s, humanity is forced to repeat the experience of technological progress, the acceleration of which was due to the transition from empirical developments of practitioners to a theoretical understanding of the laws of technological change. However, the difference between the mechanisms of system formation in technology, on the one hand, and in the economy and society, (Romer, 1988; Arthur, 1999, 2014; Nordhaus, 1994) on the other, is that economic and social systems are not just dialectically interconnected, and subordinate to each other, but each of them is capable of self-movement. (Pilipenko, et al., 2021b; Chardin, 1955; North, 1981, 1997, 2003). At the same time, a person or, more precisely, individuals, who, in turn, are complex self-sufficient systems capable of self-organization and self-development, acts as a mediator in this dialectical connection between economic and social integrities. At the same time, the pandemic made it obvious that the dialectic of the educational and social component of the self- organization of a modern personality turned out to be destroyed. This manifested itself both in the crisis of modern education and in the societal crisis as a result of the pandemic, which further exacerbated the problem of uncertainty about the future reality (Baker, et al., 2015). Many such negative phenomena are investigated in the publications of the following modern authors: Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake (2017); Eric Lonergan, and Mark Blyth (2020); experts of McKinsey Global Institute (2021); Martin Sandbu (2020); Branko Milanovic (2019); etc. A © 2021 Global Journals 45 Global Journal of Management and Business Research Volume XXI Issue V Version I Year 2021 ( ) B

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