Global Journal of Management and Business Research, B: Economics and Commerce, Volume 21 Issue 5
So, the COVID-19 pandemic immediately revealed problems in understanding the patterns of change in each of the human-created systems in the economy, society and technology, not to mention their dialectical interaction at different stages of systems complication. As a result, all crises that have manifested themselves as a result of the coronavirus pandemic must be interpreted in the context of the dialectical laws of self-movement of all the systems mentioned above in the economy, society and technology. At the same time, it should be emphasized that for each country the limiting states of self-organizing systems will have its own specifics due to the peculiarities of the economy, society and technological basis. Therefore, even if their states coincide in the context of reaching the limits of self-organization, a dialectical leap or discontinuity in the movement of system integrity will have a huge variety of options for different countries and national communities It is possible to concretize these options in modern reality only conditionally, and this largely predetermines the uncertainty of the future post-covid reality. In the authors' model (Fig. 2), the alternative of self-development of dynamic systems is conditionally reduced to three scenarios – E (1) , E (2) ,…, E ( n ) , in the time intervals t 2 – t 3 and t 3 – t 4 . The above theoretical construction allows the authors to draw certain conclusions. First, the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed the ultimate state of static economies in the most developed countries. Moreover, other countries that are inferior to them in economic parameters can see their more or less distant future by their example. The authors associate the exhaustion of the self-development potential of economic systems with a steady downward trend in the growth rate of global GDP in recent decades, especially in the group of developed countries of the world (Summers, 2020; Summers, 2014). Second, the phenomenon of a fall or minimization of citizens' confidence in their state testifies to the limiting state of national societies (Fig. 3). Notes: The Trust Index is the average present trust in NGOs, business, government and media, included 11 countries in the 2020 Trust Barometer Spring Update. Source: Edelman (2021). Edelman Trust Barometer 2021: Global Report. https://www.edelman.com/sites/g/ files/aatuss191/files/2021-01/2021-edelman-trust-barometer.pdf. Figure 3: Dynamics of trust in government, media, NGOs, business in 2020 According to Fig. 3, the Trust Index as the average present trust in NGOs, business, government and media of 11 countries was 55% in January 2020 and grew to 61% by May 2020. But already in January 2021 the Trust Index decreased to 56%. In other words, for 6 months - from May 2020 to January 2020, the Trust Index fell by 5%. Moreover spring trust bubble burst and the biggest loss became for government (-8% in January 2021). Really government was the most trusted institution in May 2020, and 6 months later it lost its lead. The greatest loss of confidence was characteristic of such states as South Korea (-17), UK (-15), China (-13), U.S. (-6), Germany (-5), Japan (-1) (Edelman, 2021). And this, undoubtedly, turns into the main obstacle to an effective strategy of the state aimed at the timely re- opening of the economy. Against this backdrop, rising unemployment and economic lockdown have become extremely expensive public strategy in the fighting COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, all these costs should be attributed to the losses of society due to the fact that the state was unable to build a public healthcare system capable of functioning in anticipation of the huge human and economic losses caused by COVID-19. Uncertainty of the Post-Covid Future: How will Humanity Solve this Puzzle? © 2021 Global Journals 51 Global Journal of Management and Business Research Volume XXI Issue V Version I Year 2021 ( ) B
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